FNAK79 PAFG 060546
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
946 PM AKDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2103 AKDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE FIRE THURSDAY
EVENING AND HOLD THERE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL SET IN OVER THE FIRE OVER THE WEEKEND AND PROBABLY PERSIST
LONGER.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 4 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SMOKE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SMOKE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FATHAUER
REQUESTED BY...KIP SHIELDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090805.BIGCR.01/AFG