FNUS73 KAPX 051623
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JIMNY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1223 PM EDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON AUGUST 5. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN IN CONTROL THIS
AFTERNOON...WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY CLOUDY AND WINDS GENERALLY FROM A WESTERLY
DIRECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT...
WITH A LITTLE MORE CLOUD COVER THURSDAY BUT WITH SIMILAR TEMPERATURES AS
THIS AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1600).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090805.JIMNY.01/APX