FNUS75 KBYZ 051338
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK...BIA CROW FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
738 AM MDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0718 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL BRING A GOOD
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE SITE THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT TIME HOURS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BEING THE
MAIN THREATS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR OVER THE NEXT THREE
DAYS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE MAINLY
IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SOLUM
REQUESTED BY...DALE GLENMORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090805.ASHCR.01/BYZ