FNUS74 KEPZ 051503
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLIE...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
903 AM MDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0844 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NM SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST
AND ALLOWS MOISTURE TO BEGIN STREAMING UP FROM MEXICO.  CIRCULATION AROUND
HIGH WILL ALSO CARRY WEAK IMPULSE...NOW OVER NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA...NORTHWARD
OVER OUR WESTERN ZONES LATER TODAY.  THIS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE BURN SITE AND VICINITY THIS AFTERNOON...OVER
WHAT WAS SEEN YESTERDAY.  ASIDE FROM WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND RAPID RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS
TODAY AND THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING EAST 4 TO 6 MPH
                    MID MORNING.  WINDS SHIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...EMILY CAMMACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090805.ALLIE.01/EPZ