FNUS75 KGJT 051622
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE...MOAB FIRE CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1022 AM MDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0952 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED WEATHER EXPECTED THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK
AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND SHIFT EAST...AND A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE BURN AREA FRIDAY. TODAY...MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WAS
MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE BURN SITE AND WILL LEAD TO SOME
THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING. STORMS MAY BE DRY
INITIALLY BUT SHOULD WET UP TONIGHT. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE INTO THURSDAY FOR A CONTINUED THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CLOUDS WILL INHIBIT SURFACE INVERSIONS TONIGHT...SO WATCH FOR
THERMAL BELTS ON SLOPES TONIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THENBECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIN
CLEARING INDEX......765 DECREASING TO 150.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    INCREASING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-13 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH. STRONG GUSTY AND ERRA
CLEARING INDEX......150 IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1000+ AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090805.DUCKL.01/GJT