FNUS73 KMQT 051035 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK NORTH RX...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 635 AM EDT WED AUG 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON AUGUST 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE SPINNING OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC WILL INFLUENCE THE BURN AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...KEEPING TEMPERATURES COOL. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT PRODUCING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE BURN AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 29 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (493) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1177) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-6000 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........12 16 22 29 36 43 46 44 39 35 31 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 56 59 63 66 68 68 69 69 69 69 68 RH..............93 78 70 59 51 46 43 44 41 44 45 47 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.53 273 493 713 933 1153117711321027887 746 670 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.2 2.5 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.9 6.0 5.7 5.2 4.7 3.9 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........24 26 29 33 36 39 41 43 49 54 59 64 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 63 59 56 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 50 RH..............51 56 65 73 79 82 83 86 86 90 96 92 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.527 349 162 38 3 10 20 18 15 15 11 7 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 72. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (428) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (887) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........67 66 63 60 57 54 53 50 44 38 33 27 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TEMP............53 57 60 64 68 69 70 70 71 70 70 69 RH..............88 77 71 62 55 52 51 51 50 51 51 53 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.35 124 213 295 428 611 775 887 887 887 747 587 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.9 5.1 6.0 6.3 6.3 5.9 5.3 4.5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PEARSON REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090805.MARSH.02/MQT