FNUS75 KMSO 051435
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR LOG FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
835 AM MDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0820 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL MOISTEN AND BECOME MORE UNSTABLE TODAY.
A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS DEVELOPING AND WILL PUSH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
FROM EASTERN OREGON NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA.  THESE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH A FAIRLY FAVORABLE WIND ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT SOME
LOCALLY STRONG STORMS TODAY IN THE FIRE AREA.  THE MAIN THREAT IS WIND...
BUT ALSO SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE HAIL.   THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
FURTHER MOISTEN TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS TO THE WEST AND APPROACHES THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDS. A SHOWER OR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM
                    SHOULD BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE BY MID TO LATE
                    MORNING.  CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 TOP TO 79 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT TOP TO 25-30 PERCENT BOTTOM.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.  STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 TOP TO 69 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT TOP TO 45 PERCENT BOTTOM.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...PHIL HUBER-MISSOULA DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090805.CEDAR.01/MSO