FNAK79 PAFG 071141
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
341 AM AKDT FRI AUG 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2106 AKDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ALOFT OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL BE
PUSHED SOUTHWARD SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS A STRONG UPPER LOW
MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE ARCTIC OCEAN. THE UPPER LOW
CENTER WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THIS LOW WILL
COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.


TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL RISING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2-6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 5-10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL RISING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10-20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. AREAS OF SMOKE.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 65. NORTHWEST WINDS TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...KIP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090806.BIGCR.02/AFG