FNUS75 KBOU 070344 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EMPTY NEST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 938 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. STORMS HAVE ENDED FOR THE EVENING...BUT ISOLATED THUNDERTORMS WILL REDEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-54. MAX HUMIDITY........62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2-5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2300. 400-1400 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2200. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12800-13800 FT AGL AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55. MAX HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12800-13800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1200-2000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0300...THEN POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EMPTY NEST. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/06-21 3 0 72 43 W 9 9 3 4 SW26 5482 SW 22 102342 V 08/06-22 3 0 70 46 W 10 4 4281 SW 20 77088 G 08/06-23 3 0 68 50 W 12 4 3079 SW 18 51834 F 08/07-00 2 0 66 54 W 13 13 2 1 SW30 1878 SW 16 26580 P 08/07-01 2 0 63 59 W 14 1 1376 SW 18 20300 P 08/07-02 2 0 61 61 W 14 1 874 W 22 14021 P 08/07-03 1 0 60 62 W 13 13 2 1 SW25 371 W 24 7741 P 08/07-04 1 0 59 62 W 14 1 632 W 26 15572 P 08/07-05 1 0 59 61 W 14 1 894 W 29 23404 P 08/07-06 15 0 60 58 W 14 22 2 1 S20 1155 W 31 31236 P 08/07-07 15 0 61 55 W 15 1 2513 W 30 64339 G 08/07-08 15 0 65 45 W 16 1 3871 SW 30 97443 G 08/07-09 15 0 70 38 W 16 25 4 1 SW28 5230 SW 29 130546 V 08/07-10 15 0 74 32 W 16 1 6941 SW 30 185230 E 08/07-11 15 0 77 29 SW 16 1 8653 SW 31 239914 E 08/07-12 50 10 78 26 SW 16 25 2 2 SW40 10365 SW 32 294597 E 08/07-13 50 10 80 23 SW 15 2 11527 SW 31 310558 E 08/07-14 50 10 81 21 SW 15 2 12689 SW 30 326518 E 08/07-15 50 10 82 19 SW 15 24 2 2 SW35 13850 SW 29 342479 E 08/07-16 50 10 82 18 SW 16 2 13879 SW 29 347798 E 08/07-17 50 10 82 18 SW 16 2 13907 SW 29 353118 E 08/07-18 35 10 80 18 SW 17 28 3 2 SW31 13935 SW 30 358438 E 08/07-19 35 10 78 20 W 16 2 12571 SW 29 316494 E 08/07-20 35 10 74 23 W 15 2 11208 SW 28 274551 E 08/07-21 35 10 70 28 W 14 22 3 2 SW33 9845 SW 28 232609 E 08/07-22 35 10 68 31 W 13 2 7849 SW 26 181665 E 08/07-23 35 10 66 36 W 13 2 5854 SW 25 130721 V 08/08-00 23 0 63 43 W 13 13 2 1 SW44 3858 SW 24 79777 G 08/08-01 23 0 60 48 W 13 1 2942 W 24 60905 G 08/08-02 23 0 58 51 W 14 1 2026 W 24 42033 F 08/08-03 23 0 57 53 W 14 22 3 1 SW41 1110 W 24 23162 P 08/08-04 23 0 56 54 W 14 1 1302 W 28 32553 P 08/08-05 23 0 56 54 W 14 1 1494 W 31 41945 F 08/08-06 5 0 56 53 W 14 22 4 1 SW45 1685 W 35 51336 F 08/08-07 5 0 58 50 W 12 1 2782 W 33 76349 G 08/08-08 5 0 60 45 W 9 1 3879 W 31 101361 V 08/08-09 5 0 64 40 W 8 8 4 1 S37 4975 W 29 126374 V 08/08-10 5 0 67 36 SW 8 1 6230 SW 26 139341 V 08/08-11 5 0 69 32 SW 9 1 7485 SW 24 152308 E 08/08-12 32 5 70 25 SW 10 10 2 1 SW39 8740 SW 22 165275 E 08/08-13 32 5 72 24 SW 9 1 10179 SW 20 166715 E 08/08-14 32 5 73 24 SW 8 1 11619 SW 17 168156 E 08/08-15 32 5 73 25 SW 8 8 3 1 SW21 13058 SW 15 169596 E 08/08-16 32 5 73 24 SW 9 1 12273 SW 14 148839 V 08/08-17 32 5 73 25 W 10 1 11488 SW 13 128082 V 08/08-18 25 5 72 26 W 9 9 3 1 S21 10704 SW 12 107325 V 08/08-19 25 5 70 27 W 10 1 8012 SW 13 83395 G 08/08-20 25 5 67 30 W 12 1 5321 W 14 59464 F 08/08-21 25 5 64 34 W 13 13 4 1 S30 2629 W 16 35534 P 08/08-22 25 5 62 36 W 13 1 1908 W 15 25692 P 08/08-23 25 5 60 39 W 14 1 1187 W 15 15850 P 08/09-00 23 5 58 42 W 14 22 5 1 S24 467 W 15 6007 P 08/09-01 23 5 55 46 W 13 1 392 W 13 4611 P 08/09-02 23 5 54 47 W 12 1 318 W 10 3215 P 08/09-03 23 5 53 48 W 10 10 4 1 SW23 243 W 8 1819 P 08/09-04 23 5 52 50 W 9 1 255 W 8 1657 P 08/09-05 23 5 52 50 W 8 1 266 SW 7 1494 P 08/09-06 16 0 52 49 W 7 7 3 1 W39 277 SW 6 1332 P 08/09-07 16 0 53 51 SW 6 1 1904 SW 9 26872 P 08/09-08 16 0 57 46 S 6 1 3531 SW 14 52411 F 08/09-09 16 0 61 43 S 5 5 3 1 W35 5158 W 17 77951 G 08/09-10 16 0 64 39 S 5 1 6438 W 18 103866 V 08/09-11 16 0 66 37 S 5 1 7719 W 20 129781 V 08/09-12 34 5 68 36 SW 5 5 2 1 W35 8999 W 20 155697 E 08/09-13 34 5 69 34 SW 5 1 9415 W 18 148515 V 08/09-14 34 5 70 33 SW 5 1 9831 W 16 141333 V 08/09-15 34 5 71 33 W 5 5 3 1 SW28 10247 W 15 134151 V 08/09-16 34 5 71 33 W 3 1 9306 W 13 105241 V 08/09-17 34 5 71 34 NW 3 1 8364 W 10 76332 G 08/09-18 71 5 69 35 N 2 2 3 1 SW21 7422 W 7 47422 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090806.EMPTY.02/BOU