FNUS75 KEPZ 061632
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUGAR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1032 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
926 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0842 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW MEXICO...WILL
CONTINUE TO CIRCULATE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY.
LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN THROUGH EARLY
THIS ASIDE FROM WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH STORMS TODAY AND
FRIDAY.  STORMS WILL DRIFT FROM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST
WITH SPEEDS 10 TO 15 MPH TODAY..AND HEAD MORE NORTHEAST FRIDAY...AS
STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES...OVERSPREADS THE AREA. MIN RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES SHOULD FALL A FEW PERCENTAGE POINTS FRIDAY...HOWEVER
MOST PRONOUNCED DRYING IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THIS WEEKEND WHEN VALUES
MAY DROP  5 TO 15 PERCENT.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWEST IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY .
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING NORTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$

REQUESTED BY...COUGAR LO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE