FNUS74 KEPZ 061500
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TURKEY PEN RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
900 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEATHER DISTURBANCE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD OVER NM...WILL INITIATE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
ASIDE FROM WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH STORMS TODAY AND FRIDAY.  STORMS WILL DRIFT FROM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH TODAY.  STORMS WILL HEAD
NORTHEAST FRIDAY...AS STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF DEEP
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES...OVERSPREADS THE AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING AND
                    BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 KNOTS
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (89000 KNOT-FT)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY..DECREASING AND SHIFTING
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (30000 KNOT-FT)

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING AND
                    SHIFTING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (111600 KNOT-FT)

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...TIFFANY FRALIE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090806.TURKE.01/EPZ