FNUS74 KEPZ 061618
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILLIE...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1018 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0936 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW MEXICO...WILL
CONTINUE TO CIRCULATE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY.
LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN THROUGH EARLY THIS
ASIDE FROM WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH STORMS TODAY AND FRIDAY.  STORMS WILL
DRIFT FROM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH SPEEDS 10 TO 20 MPH
TODAY..AND HEAD MORE NORTHEAST FRIDAY...AS STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AHEAD OF DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES...OVERSPREADS
THE AREA.  MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD FALL A FEW PERCENTAGE POINTS
FRIDAY...HOWEVER MOST PRONOUNCED DRYING IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THIS WEEKEND
WHEN VALUES MAY DROP 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY( 55-65 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 18 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090806.WILLI.01/EPZ