FNUS72 KJAX 061206
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOWARD DREW GRADE...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
806 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME STORMS MAY BE PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. RH'S WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     36     47     47
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     89     92     90
RH..............71     57     50     52
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 6   W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   3900   5600   5600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5   W 7    W 9    W 9
LAL.............2      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............86     81     77     75     74     73
RH..............60     75     85     90     93     95
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SE 2   SE 2   S 2    S 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4700   2100   2100   300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   SW 3   SW 3   S 2    SW 3   SW 3

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090806.HOWAR.01/JAX