FNUS73 KMQT 061014 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK NORTH RX DAY 2...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 614 AM EDT THU AUG 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON AUGUST 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO THE BURN AREA WITH SOME AFTERNOON CLOUDS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES INLAND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 27 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (533) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1552) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-7100 FT AGL. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........31 32 35 37 39 42 43 40 35 30 25 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 57 59 64 67 68 69 69 70 69 69 68 RH..............88 77 71 60 53 49 47 44 41 40 41 44 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX FT/100.....35 168 351 533 835 1165 1482 1552 1549 1347 1205 1020 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.3 2.7 4.1 5.2 6.1 6.7 7.1 7.0 6.7 6.3 5.7 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH BECOMING CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (505) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........17 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 26 29 32 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 63 58 54 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 48 RH..............50 59 68 77 82 83 84 88 89 94 100 94 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100..797 505 226 35 0 1 20 18 13 10 6 4 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 22 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (589). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........37 39 44 50 55 60 63 64 67 70 73 76 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............50 54 57 62 65 67 67 68 68 68 67 66 RH..............90 80 75 67 61 59 60 60 60 62 63 67 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100. 13 51 111 206 291 379 425 452 501 505 549 589 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...PEARSON REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090806.MARSH.01/MQT