FNAK79 PAFG 081143
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK SLOUGH  347
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
343 AM AKDT SAT AUG 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1835 AKDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FIRE TODAY. THIS TROUGH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A PERIOD OF STEADY RAIN
LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THE WIND WILL SHIFT INTO THE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL BRING A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH BY 1000.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH...
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO
                    12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 0400.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 TO 2500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING INTO THE NORTHEAST AND
                    DIMINISHING TO 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL/FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090807.ROCKS.01/AFG