FNUS75 KBOU 071811 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EMPTY NEST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1212 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL COVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90. MIN HUMIDITY........13-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200-11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 13400-14400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45%) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57. MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 400-1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-83. MIN HUMIDITY........17-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11600-12200 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EMPTY NEST. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/07-11 33 0 77 29 W 16 1 9592 SW 22 193043 E 08/07-12 50 10 78 26 W 14 22 4 2 SW30 11869 SW 24 251166 E 08/07-13 50 10 80 23 W 13 2 12783 SW 23 259981 E 08/07-14 50 10 81 21 SW 12 2 13696 SW 23 268796 E 08/07-15 50 10 82 19 SW 12 12 3 2 SW22 14610 SW 22 277611 E 08/07-16 50 10 82 18 SW 12 2 14313 SW 22 270165 E 08/07-17 50 10 82 18 W 13 2 14016 SW 22 262718 E 08/07-18 37 10 80 18 W 13 13 3 2 SW24 13719 SW 22 255271 E 08/07-19 37 10 78 20 W 13 2 11195 SW 22 210950 E 08/07-20 37 10 74 24 W 14 2 8671 SW 22 166628 E 08/07-21 37 10 70 28 W 14 22 3 2 SW32 6147 SW 23 122307 V 08/07-22 37 10 68 32 W 14 2 4329 SW 21 85068 G 08/07-23 37 10 66 37 W 13 2 2510 SW 20 47828 F 08/08-00 23 0 63 43 W 13 13 2 1 SW43 692 SW 17 10589 P 08/08-01 23 0 60 48 W 14 1 587 SW 18 9093 P 08/08-02 23 0 58 52 W 14 1 481 W 18 7597 P 08/08-03 23 0 57 54 W 15 24 2 1 S35 376 W 18 6101 P 08/08-04 23 0 56 55 W 15 1 727 W 23 16874 P 08/08-05 23 0 56 55 W 15 1 1078 W 26 27646 P 08/08-06 5 0 56 53 W 14 22 5 1 S35 1429 W 31 38419 P 08/08-07 5 0 58 50 W 12 1 2203 W 29 53744 F 08/08-08 5 0 60 45 W 9 1 2978 W 28 69069 G 08/08-09 5 0 64 40 W 8 8 5 1 SW31 3752 SW 25 84393 G 08/08-10 5 0 67 36 SW 8 1 5332 SW 25 113142 V 08/08-11 5 0 69 32 SW 9 1 6912 SW 24 141891 V 08/08-12 32 0 70 25 SW 10 10 4 1 SW30 8492 SW 23 170640 E 08/08-13 32 0 72 24 SW 9 1 9729 SW 23 193873 E 08/08-14 32 0 73 24 SW 8 1 10965 SW 23 217105 E 08/08-15 32 0 73 25 SW 8 8 3 1 SW30 12201 SW 23 240338 E 08/08-16 32 0 73 24 SW 9 1 11947 SW 21 215188 E 08/08-17 32 0 73 25 W 10 1 11692 SW 18 190039 E 08/08-18 25 5 72 26 W 9 9 4 1 S23 11438 SW 16 164889 E 08/08-19 25 5 70 27 W 10 1 8525 SW 17 123819 V 08/08-20 25 5 67 30 W 12 1 5612 SW 17 82750 G 08/08-21 25 5 64 34 W 13 13 4 1 S28 2699 SW 17 41680 F 08/08-22 25 5 62 36 W 13 1 2008 SW 17 31026 P 08/08-23 25 5 60 39 W 14 1 1316 SW 18 20373 P 08/09-00 23 5 58 42 W 14 22 4 1 S29 625 SW 18 9719 P 08/09-01 23 5 55 46 W 13 1 515 W 14 7028 P 08/09-02 23 5 54 47 W 12 1 406 W 10 4337 P 08/09-03 23 5 53 48 W 10 10 4 1 SW28 296 W 7 1646 P 08/09-04 23 5 52 50 W 9 1 545 SW 6 2560 P 08/09-05 23 5 52 50 W 8 1 794 SW 6 3474 P 08/09-06 16 0 52 49 W 7 7 4 1 SW30 1042 SW 5 4389 P 08/09-07 16 0 53 51 SW 6 1 2318 SW 9 28561 P 08/09-08 16 0 57 46 S 6 1 3593 SW 14 52733 F 08/09-09 16 0 61 42 S 5 5 4 1 SW36 4868 SW 18 76905 G 08/09-10 16 0 64 38 S 3 1 6975 SW 20 124071 V 08/09-11 16 0 67 36 S 3 1 9082 SW 21 171237 E 08/09-12 34 5 69 35 S 3 3 3 1 SW33 11189 SW 23 218403 E 08/09-13 34 5 70 33 S 3 1 11676 SW 23 232189 E 08/09-14 34 5 71 32 W 5 1 12162 SW 23 245974 E 08/09-15 34 5 72 32 W 5 5 3 1 SW32 12649 SW 24 259760 E 08/09-16 34 5 72 32 W 5 1 11740 SW 22 228008 E 08/09-17 34 5 71 33 W 5 1 10832 W 21 196257 E 08/09-18 71 5 70 34 W 5 5 3 1 SW32 9923 W 20 164505 E 08/09-19 71 5 68 32 NW 3 1 8376 W 15 120699 V 08/09-20 71 5 65 36 NE 2 1 6830 W 12 76892 G 08/09-21 71 5 62 43 E 2 2 2 1 SW38 5283 W 7 33085 P 08/09-22 71 5 60 45 NE 2 1 4247 W 6 24559 P 08/09-23 71 5 58 46 NW 3 1 3212 SW 5 16032 P 08/10-00 26 0 56 48 W 5 5 2 1 SW40 2176 SW 3 7506 P 08/10-01 26 0 53 51 W 6 1 1548 SW 5 5575 P 08/10-02 26 0 52 54 W 7 1 920 W 6 3643 P 08/10-03 26 0 51 55 W 8 8 2 1 SW37 292 W 7 1712 P 08/10-04 26 0 51 53 W 8 1 304 W 6 1652 P 08/10-05 26 0 50 52 W 8 1 317 W 6 1592 P 08/10-06 16 0 51 51 W 8 8 2 1 W29 330 W 6 1533 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090807.EMPTY.03/BOU