FNUS74 KEPZ 071452
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
852 AM MDT FRI AUG 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...WILL SEND
UNSEASONABLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER BURN SITE THIS WEEKEND.  THIS
WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO ISOLATED AT BEST THIS AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN SATURDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM 2 TO 5 DEGREES...LOWERING
MIN RH 10 TO 15 PERCENT FROM THURSDAY READINGS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RAPID RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN 10 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) EARLY...THEN
                    CLEAR(0-10 PERCENT) BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...WEAKENING AND SHIFTING
                    NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...COUGAR LO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090807.COUGA.01/EPZ