FNUS75 KEPZ 071655
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE TREE RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1055 AM MDT FRI AUG 7 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINE TREE RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1035 AM MDT FRI AUG 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST...WILL BEGIN
TO SEND UNSEASONABLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL PUSH AND CONFINE
SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAM EAST OF RIO GRANDE OVER BURN SITE.  WITH
FAIRLY DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUING IN THE LOCAL AREA HOWEVER...ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SITE OR IN VICINITY REMAIN
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM 1 TO 3 DEGREES...LOWERING MIN RH 5 TO 10
PERCENT FROM THURSDAYS READINGS.  FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RAPID RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH
ANY STORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (123500 KNOT FT)


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING BEFORE
                    MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE WEST-NORTHWEST
                    2 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (3600 KNOT-FT)


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (79200 KNOT-FT)

$$

REQUESTED BY...TIFFANY FRALIE
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U