FNUS73 KMQT 070933 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK NORTH RX DAY 2...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 533 AM EDT FRI AUG 7 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON AUGUST 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LINGERING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE EAST HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY. EXPECT WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR TO GRADUALLY INFILTRATE THE AREA THIS WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST GETS CLOSER. THE APPROACH OF THIS FRONT WILL ALSO BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 73. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (285). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........25 33 45 53 55 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 57 67 69 72 70 RH..............95 73 55 53 46 47 GENERAL WIND....NE 3 NE 3 SE 6 S 7 S 7 SE 7 GENERAL GUST....5 5 10 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.15 54 103 218 283 285 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 3400 4400 4000 2800 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 34 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (30). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........60 65 71 76 77 79 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 63 59 58 57 55 RH..............57 69 82 88 95 100 GENERAL WIND....SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.161 70 30 53 55 46 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 500 200 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 85 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 35 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (495). LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........80 79 77 76 74 72 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............58 62 66 68 68 68 RH..............100 93 85 87 86 86 GENERAL WIND....SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.65 213 366 495 378 216 MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 1600 2000 2100 2000 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...KC REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090807.MARSH.01/MQT