FNUS75 KBOU 090203 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MT IDA SAR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 805 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...PRETTY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST ARE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON ...IT DECREASES SOMEWHAT AND BECOMES WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE BE PRETTY SPARSE OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASE SOMEWHAT THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-44. MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 200-1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-60. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-42. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11400-11600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MT IDA SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/08-19 65 20 53 28 SW 10 3 11292 SW 21 215337 E 08/08-20 65 20 50 32 W 9 3 9813 SW 18 164873 E 08/08-21 65 20 48 36 W 7 7 4 3 S40 8334 SW 16 114409 V 08/08-22 65 20 46 39 W 6 3 5913 SW 12 77587 G 08/08-23 65 20 45 42 SW 5 3 3491 S 8 40764 F 08/09-00 65 20 43 46 S 5 5 4 3 SW41 1070 S 5 3942 P 08/09-01 65 20 41 49 S 6 3 811 S 6 3261 P 08/09-02 65 20 39 50 S 7 3 551 S 7 2581 P 08/09-03 65 20 39 50 S 8 8 4 3 SW39 292 S 8 1900 P 08/09-04 65 20 38 49 S 8 3 327 S 8 2284 P 08/09-05 65 20 38 46 S 9 3 362 S 8 2668 P 08/09-06 65 0 38 45 SW 9 9 4 1 SW36 397 S 9 3053 P 08/09-07 65 0 39 45 SW 9 1 3049 SW 15 66268 G 08/09-08 65 0 42 42 SW 9 1 5702 SW 21 129484 V 08/09-09 26 0 45 40 SW 10 10 3 1 W48 8355 W 26 192699 E 08/09-10 26 0 48 38 W 13 1 8941 W 26 208683 E 08/09-11 26 0 50 37 W 16 1 9528 W 28 224666 E 08/09-12 40 5 50 37 W 17 28 3 1 W43 10115 W 28 240650 E 08/09-13 40 5 50 37 W 16 1 9852 W 25 216641 E 08/09-14 40 5 50 37 W 15 1 9590 W 23 192633 E 08/09-15 40 5 50 36 W 13 13 3 1 W39 9327 W 21 168625 E 08/09-16 40 5 50 37 W 12 1 9187 W 20 156692 E 08/09-17 40 5 50 37 W 12 1 9047 W 18 144759 V 08/09-18 56 10 50 38 W 13 13 4 2 W35 8906 W 17 132826 V 08/09-19 56 10 51 32 W 10 2 7072 W 10 85243 G 08/09-20 56 10 49 37 W 8 2 3681 W 7 43088 F 08/09-21 56 10 46 42 W 6 6 4 2 SW33 290 W 3 934 P 08/09-22 56 10 45 47 SW 6 2 266 W 3 818 P 08/09-23 56 10 44 52 SW 6 2 242 SW 3 703 P 08/10-00 29 0 42 57 SW 6 6 4 1 SW39 218 S 3 587 P 08/10-01 29 0 40 61 SW 7 1 201 S 3 651 P 08/10-02 29 0 39 64 SW 7 1 184 SW 5 715 P 08/10-03 29 0 38 64 SW 8 8 4 1 SW36 167 SW 6 779 P 08/10-04 29 0 38 64 SW 9 1 178 SW 6 981 P 08/10-05 29 0 37 63 W 10 1 190 SW 7 1184 P 08/10-06 18 0 38 62 W 10 10 4 1 SW31 201 W 8 1386 P 08/10-07 18 0 38 61 W 9 1 234 W 7 1253 P 08/10-08 18 0 42 54 W 6 1 268 W 5 1120 P 08/10-09 18 0 45 49 W 5 5 4 1 W29 301 W 3 987 P 08/10-10 18 0 48 45 W 6 1 4053 W 7 47573 F 08/10-11 18 0 50 42 W 7 1 7805 W 10 94159 G 08/10-12 49 10 51 41 W 9 9 4 2 W25 11557 W 14 140746 V 08/10-13 49 10 53 38 W 9 2 11548 W 14 143018 V 08/10-14 49 10 53 36 W 10 2 11540 W 15 145290 V 08/10-15 49 10 54 34 W 10 10 4 2 W24 11531 W 15 147562 V 08/10-16 49 10 54 33 W 12 2 11447 W 15 147950 V 08/10-17 49 10 54 33 W 12 2 11362 W 15 148337 V 08/10-18 49 10 53 33 W 10 10 4 2 W22 11278 W 15 148725 V 08/10-19 49 10 52 35 W 10 2 7572 W 13 99477 G 08/10-20 49 10 50 38 W 9 2 3866 W 9 50228 F 08/10-21 49 10 47 41 W 8 8 4 2 W21 161 W 7 980 P 08/10-22 49 10 46 43 W 7 2 152 W 7 853 P 08/10-23 49 10 45 45 W 6 2 143 W 6 725 P 08/11-00 35 0 43 47 W 6 6 4 1 W18 134 W 5 597 P 08/11-01 35 0 41 48 W 6 1 126 W 5 555 P 08/11-02 35 0 40 48 W 6 1 119 W 5 513 P 08/11-03 35 0 40 47 W 6 6 4 1 W16 111 W 5 471 P 08/11-04 35 0 39 47 W 6 1 113 W 5 478 P 08/11-05 35 0 39 47 W 6 1 115 W 5 485 P 08/11-06 35 0 39 49 W 6 6 4 1 NW12 116 W 5 492 P 08/11-07 35 0 40 51 W 9 1 146 W 6 843 P 08/11-08 35 0 45 45 W 10 1 176 W 7 1194 P 08/11-09 35 0 50 41 W 10 10 4 1 W10 205 W 9 1545 P 08/11-10 35 0 53 35 W 10 1 2603 W 9 20031 P 08/11-11 35 0 56 30 W 12 1 5001 W 9 38517 P 08/11-12 45 10 58 27 W 12 12 4 2 W 8 7398 W 9 57003 F 08/11-13 45 10 60 25 W 12 2 9222 W 8 68290 G 08/11-14 45 10 61 25 W 12 2 11047 W 8 79578 G 08/11-15 45 10 62 25 W 12 12 4 2 W12 12871 W 8 90865 G 08/11-16 45 10 62 25 W 10 2 12866 W 8 87401 G 08/11-17 45 10 62 26 W 10 2 12862 W 8 83938 G 08/11-18 45 10 60 24 W 10 10 4 2 W15 12857 W 7 80475 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RANGER BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090808.MTIDA.01/BOU RJK