FNUS74 KEPZ 081941
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BRUNT...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
141 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1301 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN AZ AND NM TODAY...IS EXPECTED
TO BRIEFLY TAP SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAM CURRENTLY FLOWING NORTHEAST
OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO.  AS A RESULT...ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE BURN SITE.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS APPROACHING OR EVEN
EXCEEDING 50 MPH AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH RAPID RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH ANY STORMS.  TROUGH OVER WESTERN U.S.A. WILL LIFT OUT OF
THE REGION LATER SUNDAY...ALLOWING SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE TO SLOWLY
MIGRATE BACK NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE BURN SITE LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY.
THUS LOOK FOR A REPEAT IN VERY ISOLATED ACTIVITY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) EARLY...THEN
                    CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE
                    WEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...WEAKENING AND SHIFTING NORTHWEST
                    2 TO 4 MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES MEEKS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090808.BRUNT.02/EPZ