FNUS74 KEPZ 081431
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
831 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0804 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN AZ AND NM TODAY...IS EXPECTED
TO BRIEFLY TAP SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAM CURRENTLY FLOWING NORTHEAST
OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO.  AS A RESULT...ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE BURN SITE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH WITH RAPID
RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS.  TROUGH ACROSS WEST WILL
LIFT OUT OF THE REGION LATER SUNDAY...ALLOWING SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE
TO SLOWLY MIGRATE NORTHWARD TOWARDS BURN SITE LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY.
THUS LOOK FOR A REPEAT IN ACTIVITY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN AFTERNOON WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 16 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) EARLY...THEN CLEAR
                    (0-10 PERCENT)
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...WEAKENING AND SHIFTING
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) LATER IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY...BECOMING WEST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090808.COUGA.01/EPZ