FNUS75 KEPZ 081542
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
942 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILLIE...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
928 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0853 MDT ON AUGUST 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN AZ AND NM TODAY...IS
EXPECTED
TO BRIEFLY TAP SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAM CURRENTLY FLOWING
NORTHEAST
OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO.  AS A RESULT...ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE BURN SITE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH WITH
RAPID
RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS.  TROUGH OVER WESTERN
U.S.A.
WILL LIFT OUT OF THE REGION LATER SUNDAY...ALLOWING SUB-TROPICAL
MOISTURE
TO SLOWLY MIGRATE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE BURN SITE LATE IN THE DAY
SUNDAY.
THUS LOOK FOR A REPEAT IN ISOLATED ACTIVITY FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH UP-VALLEY GUSTS TO 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) EARLY...THEN CLEAR
                    (0-10 PERCENT)
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING TOWARDS
                    MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY...DECREASING AND SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST
                    1 TO 4 MPH LATER IN THE EVENING. MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL UP-VALLEY GUSTS TO 14 MPH.

$$

REQUESTED BY...SHELLI COMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE