FNUS73 KMQT 080954 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK NORTH RX DAY 2...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 554 AM EDT SAT AUG 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0615 EDT ON AUGUST 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR TO OVERSPREAD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND AS A WARM FRONT IN THE UPPER MIDWEST DRIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TONIGHT...WHEN THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CAUSE HEAVY DOWNPOURS. AFTER A DRYING TREND ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MAY BRING MORE SHOWERS TO THE EAST HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN ON MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 80 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 29 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (377). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........85 81 77 73 75 79 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............58 62 65 67 67 67 RH..............100 94 87 89 87 87 GENERAL WIND....SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.90 279 377 301 287 247 MIX HGT (FT)....400 1300 1900 1900 1900 1600 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 34 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (33). LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.50 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........81 84 87 90 86 82 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 65 64 63 63 63 RH..............86 93 98 100 100 100 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 GENERAL GUST....10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.177 85 33 40 49 38 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 500 200 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (546). LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.06 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........78 70 58 50 50 51 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 72 78 80 81 81 RH..............92 79 67 66 61 59 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 8 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.65 270 435 463 513 535 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 2300 3300 3700 3600 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...KC REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090808.MARSH.01/MQT