FNUS75 KEPZ 091525
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUGAR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
925 AM MDT SUN AUG 9 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
917 AM MDT SUN AUG 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0842 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH VIRGA SHAFTS AND NEAR
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...


.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER DRY DAY FOR THE MOST PART IN STORE FOR THE BURN SITE...WITH
ISOLATED
STORMS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO
REFORM/REBUILD
UP FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST LATER TODAY AND MONDAY.   THE HIGH SHOULD
QUICKLY CENTER ITSELF OVER NEW MEXICO...WHICH SHOULD PREVENT STORM
DEVELOPMENT
MONDAY...HOWEVER ANY SEEPAGE OF ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH
THE STRONG
HEATING WE HAVE COULD TRIGGER ISOLATED STORMS. DEWPOINT TRENDS WILL
BE CLOSELY
MONITORED. IN THIS ENVIRONMENT...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS
APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
RAPID
RUNOFF WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A SIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 10 11 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) EARLY...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...DECREASING AND
                    SHIFTING NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A SIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 10 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 13 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE