FNUS75 KGJT 091701
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1101 AM MDT SUN AUG 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1046 MDT ON AUGUST 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GRADIENT FLOW DECREASING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT SO
EXPECT LESS WIND AT THE FIRE SITE TODAY. MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS. DEEP
CONVECTIVE MIXING EXPECTED IN THE ABSENCE OF CLOUD COVER. INVERSIONS
SET UP SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET IN RESPONSE TO EXCEPTIONAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY...THOUGH A BIT WARMER
BENEATH A WEAK RIDGE.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH
    AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL THROUGH 2000...THEN DECREASING
    TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH THROUGH 0800...THEN
    NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. OCCASIONAL
    GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING WEST 10 MPH BY 1100.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...MAPLE TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090809.DRYCR.01/GJT