FNUS74 KEPZ 101521
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
921 AM MDT MON AUG 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0853 MDT ON AUGUST 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS SCARCE ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF
NM THIS MORNING... AS DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES.  AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OVER THE BLACKS RANGE CANNOT BE COMPLETELY OUTRULED...
AS RESIDUAL MOISTURE OVER MEXICO IS STREAMING NORTHEAST.  PRECIP
CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK AS MID-LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS BACK
TO THE WEST...ALLOWING FOR INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA.
OTHERWISE EXPECT LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MIN RH VALUES
DROPPING BELOW 15%.

PLEASE SEND FIELD OBSERVATIONS IF POSSIBLE OR CONSIDER PORTABLE RAWS.
REMARKS FROM PAST SPOTS INDICATE POSSIBLE WARM BIAS.  MAX TEMP OF 92
DEGREES AT 8300 FT MSL ON SATURDAY 8/8 SEEMS UNLIKELY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...SHELLI COMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090810.COUGA.01/EPZ