FNAK79 PAFG 121410
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
610 AM AKDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2040 AKDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.
TODAY WILL BE A DRY DAY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE
WEATHER WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN A STORM
SYSTEM WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE WILL INCH CLOSER TO
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SATURDAY EXPECT A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS...AND FOR
THE MOST PART THE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......A MODERATE LOW LEVEL INVERSION AROUND 500 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WINDS VARIABLE IN DIRECTION LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 300 TO 600 FT AGL IN A MODERATE LOW
                    LEVEL INVERSION AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WINDS VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 5 MPH OR LESS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (25-50 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING 50-80 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER NOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...KIP TYSON SHIELDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090811.BIGCR.01/AFG