FNUS74 KEPZ 111509
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
909 AM MDT TUE AUG 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0849 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS SHIFTING WESTWARD...AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS
INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA.  WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ATTEMPT
TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY...BUT EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW
SHOULD RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
BLACKS RANGE AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GILA.  AVAILABLE MOISTURE
AND PRECIP CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK.  HOWEVER...
ISOLATED NATURE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE
THREAT OF LIGHTNING-BASED FIRE STARTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090811.COUGA.01/EPZ