FNAK79 PAFG 121746
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOURTEEN MILE...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
946 AM AKDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 AKDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT OUT OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT.
TODAY WILL BE A DRY DAY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THE
WEATHER WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN A STORM
SYSTEM WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE WILL INCH CLOSER TO
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
EXPECT A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
WILL BE GOOD THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS AND THE WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 300 TO 600 FT AGL IN A MODERATE LOW
                    LEVEL INVERSION AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...MITCH LIMBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090812.FOURT.01/AFG