FNUS73 KBIS 130414
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR FELIX...THREE AFFILIATED TRIBES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1114 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2249 CDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED OVER WEST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ALONG A
FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA TO NEAR NEW TOWN AND
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO MONTANA. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY SLIDE
SOUTHEASTWARD AND CAUSE SOUTHEAST WINDS TO SHIFT TO NORTH AT 5
MPH AROUND 3 AM MDT. NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD STRENGTHEN DURING THE
DAY TO 10 TO 20 MPH AS THE LOW SLOWLY STRENGTHENS AND SHIFTS
EASTWARD.

CONCERNING PRECIPITATION CHANCES...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN MONTANA MAY HOLD TOGETHER AS THEY MOVE
INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF THE STORMS
MAKES FORECASTING THE RAIN AT YOUR SITE VERY DIFFICULT...BUT IT IS
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. TO FURTHER COMPLICATE PROBLEMS...SEVERAL
MEASURED WIND GUSTS OF 55 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE MONTANA
SIDE OF THE BORDER WITH THESE STORMS. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE
VARIABLE WITH ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AS TURBULENCE AND LOCATION
RELATIVE TO THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM WILL HAVE LARGE INFLUENCES ON
LOCAL WINDS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........78 AT REQUEST...MIN 61.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................2.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
LAL.................2.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHECK
REQUESTED BY...MARLE BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.FELIX.01/BIS