FNUS74 KEPZ 121513
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TURKEY...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
913 AM MDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0901 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO WILL TEND TO
SUPPRESS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY WITH ABOVE
NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THAT HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN
AND SHIFT EASTWARD TOMORROW AND FRIDAY AS AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OFF THE PACIFIC. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TOMORROW AND FRIDAY AS THAT TROUGH
APPROACHES AND DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH. SURFACE
AND LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND WINDS ALOFT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY TO ALLOW THE CHANCE FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY...THEN DIMINISH SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT THIS MORNING...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...SHELLI COMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.TURKE.01/EPZ