FNUS75 KGJT 122241
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COOPER SPRINGS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
441 PM MDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1614 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD AS MOISTURE CREEPS UNDER RIDGE ALLOWING FOR
SOME CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH THOUGH
WEAKENING AT THE MOMENT. THUS CONTINUED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. AS HIGH SLOWLY MOVES
EASTWARD MOISTURE WILL STREAM UP INTO EASTERN UTAH/WESTERN
COLORADO GIVING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND
LIGHTNING THOUGH ANY STORM THAT FORMS WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION INTO
A RAIN PRODUCER.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300-20800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......200 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15
                    MPH AFTER 12PM WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9900-11200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (95100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...PHIL DENDEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.COOPE.01/GJT