FNUS75 KGJT 121708
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1108 AM MDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1030 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT
RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH HAINES INDEX. AS TEMPERATURES
INCREASE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TEENS THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GOOD
MIXING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD LATE THIS EVENING AND
MAY HELP TO KEEP SOME GUSTS WINDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE THURSDAY AND BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LIGHTNING WILL BECOME MORE WIDE SPREAD
THURSDAY ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL ALSO TRANSITION TO MORE EFFICIENT
RAIN PRODUCERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE WINDS 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH
                    POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-9 MPH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    TERRAIN DRIVEN 2-5 MPH AFTER 2100
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 6-9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...MAPLE TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.DRYCR.01/GJT