FNUS75 KGJT 122250
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NARRAGUINNEP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MDT WED AUG 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1613 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WAS MOVING NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN UTAH AND
THE FOUR CORNERS LATE TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE
BURN AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING
NEAR MOAB AND MOVING EAST. OUTFLOW FROM THIS AREA MAY PRODUCE SOME
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE PREVALENT ON THURSDAY.

IN THE EXTENDED...A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY FOR CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. INCREASED MOISTURE
WILL RAISE HUMIDITY SOMEWHAT. SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHEAST UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR INTERSTATE 70.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 7-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6=12 MPH UNTIL 2000...MAY OCCASIONALLY BE NORTHWEST. BECOMING D
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH BY 2200.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLA
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3- 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN TO FAIR (7700-45000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE 80-85 F.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY 18-28%. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH EXCEPT GUSTY NEAR STORMS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 68-78. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 44-54. HIGHS 68-78. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
38-48. HIGHS 72-82. WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47-57. HIGHS 72-82.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47-57. HIGHS 75-85.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...KENT GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.NARRA.01/GJT