FNUS74 KLCH 130010
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLIS BIRTHDAY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
710 PM CDT WED AUG 12 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...OVERALL...LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...THOUGH
THE AFFECTS OF THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL BE PROBLEMATIC.
MULTIPLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES NEAR FIRE SITE BASED ON RADAR. BOUNDARY
DISCUSSED OVER THE PHONE HAS MOVED WEST OF THE SITE AND IS HEADED AWAY.
SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY GOT A LITTLE KICK FROM DECAYING THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE GULF...AND LOOKS LIKE IT MAY HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE SITE.
IF THIS IS CORRECT...THEN THE LIGHT EAST WINDS BEHIND THE WESTWARD
MOVING OUTFLOW WOULD HAVE BEEN REPLACED...OR WILL BE SHORTLY...BY
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-2200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4.
DISPERSION..........POOR.

TIME (CDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........46     42     37     36     37     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............86     82     81     80     80     79
RH..............72     79     82     84     85     86
20 FT WIND......E 1    S 1    S 0    SW 0   NW 1   N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                                   5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 1    S 1    S 0    SW 0   NW 1   N 2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500-7400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NNE AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON
HAINES INDEX........4.
DISPERSION..........GOOD

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4.
DISPERSION..........POOR

$$

FORECASTER...CARBONI
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL DAVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090812.HOLLI.02/LCH