FNUS73 KDDC 131036 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR CIMARRON REC AREA PILES...USDA FS CIMARRON NG NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 536 AM CDT THU AUG 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT, WHILE A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER EASTERN COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY WARM DAYS BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR WESTERN SOUTHWEST KANSAS, INCLUDING MORTON AND STANTON COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BE SEASONAL FROM THE SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH TODAY, AND CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH ON FRIDAY AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED TODAY OR FRIDAY, DUE TO THE DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS, AND DUE TO THE STRONGER WINDS ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000-11600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1700...THEN 1-8 STRIKES. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........10 15 12 3 3 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............78 85 89 91 90 RH..............50 40 34 30 30 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 S 8 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 15 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 9 S 8 S 10 S 9 WIND GUST..15 20 15 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN NO TSTMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........3 60 63 65 74 51 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 79 74 72 69 67 RH..............31 45 55 61 68 73 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 SE 9 SE 11 S 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 S 8 SE 9 SE 11 S 10 S 8 WIND GUST..20 20 25 25 20 15 LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........28 19 18 25 41 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 73 82 88 91 92 RH..............75 62 46 36 33 32 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 10 S 11 SW 11 S 10 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 10 S 11 SW 11 S 10 S 7 WIND GUST..15 20 25 25 20 15 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BURKE REQUESTED BY...TOM EIKENBERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090813.CIMAR.01/DDC