FNUS74 KEPZ 131452
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...NM-SDC  GNF-WLDR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
852 AM MDT THU AUG 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0833 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WINDOW FOR INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS SHAPING UP
FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS A SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STARTS TO TAP MOISTURE OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO AHEAD OF AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. THIS FEATURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE BORDERLAND THIS WEEKEND. THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS SHOULD SEE
AND INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH SHOULD PRODUCE ONLY A SLIGHT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT)
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50-60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090813.COUGA.01/EPZ