FNUS74 KEPZ 131526
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TURKEY...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
926 AM MDT THU AUG 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0901 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WINDOW FOR INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS SHAPING UP
FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS A SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT STARTS TO TAP MOISTURE OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO AHEAD OF AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. THIS FEATURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE BORDERLAND THIS WEEKEND. THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS SHOULD SEE
AND INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH SHOULD PRODUCE ONLY A SLIGHT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...SHELLI COMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090813.TURKE.01/EPZ