FNUS75 KGJT 131436
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRADFIELD...SJNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
836 AM MDT THU AUG 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0743 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO
THROUGH TONIGHT. ONE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVERHEAD
EARLY THIS MORNING...SO THERE COULD BE A BIT OF A BREAK LATER
THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING...INSTABILITY AND A LATE-
DAY DISTURBANCE CAUSES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REGENERATE.
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. HUMIDITY
WILL GRADUALLY BE ON THE RISE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. AS A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INLAND...SURFACE WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY...BUT THE MAIN IMPACT OF THIS TROUGH
WILL BE FELT ON SATURDAY AS WIND SPEEDS INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH GUSTS TO 18 MPH
                    POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING SHIFTING TO TERRAIN
                    DRIVEN 3-5 MPH AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BEFORE 2000 THEN BECOMING POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...JAKE THELEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090813.BRADF.03/GJT