FNUS76 KMTR 131243
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOCKHEED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MONTEREY CA
543 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...NORTHWEST WIND FLOW TO AFFECT THE FIRE AREA TODAY...

DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE FIRE AREA.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE RIDGES ABOVE 2000 FEET BUT ANY
EXPOSED AREAS WILL BE EXPOSED TO WEST-NORTHWEST WIND FLOW OFF THE
OCEAN. THE LARGE TIMBER WILL RESULT IN EYE LEVEL WINDS MUCH LIGHTER
THAN THAT OBSERVED OVER THE RIDGES...HOWEVER SHOULD ACTIVE FIRE
BEHAVIOR CONTINUE LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE MARINE LAYER IS CURRENTLY AROUND 1000 FEET DEEP AND AS A TROUGH
APPROACHES TONIGHT IT MAY DEEPEN TO 2000 FEET BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS
PART OF THE FORECAST IS LOW.  EVEN IF IT DOES DEEPEN FUELS IN THIS
AREA ARE SLOW TO RESPOND TO MOISTENING BY DRIZZLE AND FOG. IF INTEL
IS CORRECT AND FIRE EXTENDS FROM SEA LEVEL TO 2000 FEET IT IS LIKELY
THAT LOWER LEVELS OF THE FIRE WILL BE IN FOG/DRIZZLE TONIGHT WHILE
UPPER ELVATIONS GET DRIER AS RH VALUES ACTUALLY FALL AS THE MARINE
LAYER PUSHES IN BELOW. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SEVERAL DEGREES ON
FRIDAY WITH NORTHWEST WIND FLOW CONTINUING.

NEXT WEATHER CHANGE OF NOTE OCCURS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WHEN RIDGE
TOP WIND FLOW TURNS NORTHEAST IN DIRECTION. LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL
LIKELY BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MARINE LAYER BUT AREAS ABOVE
1500 TO 2000 FEET WILL LIKELY BE WARM AND DRY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
AS NORTHEAST OFFSHORE WINDS SURFACE...ALTHOUGH THEY SHOULD BE FAIRLY
LIGHT.

EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR WARMING AND DRYING TREND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

FOR THURSDAY
   SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BUT CLOUDS AND FOG POSSIBLE
                       AROUND 1000 FEET ALONG THE COAST.
   TEMPERATURE.........HIGH 75-80 BELOW 1000 FEET BUT LOWER
                       90S ABOVE 1500 FEET.
   HUMIDITY............MIN 20 PCT THIS AFTERNOON...DRIEST
                       ABOVE 1500 FEET.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH GUSTS 20 MPH ABOVE 2000 FT.
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH
   MARINE LAYER........1000 FEET FEET...MAY DEEPEN TO 1500 LATE
TODAY.
   CWR.................NONE

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
   SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR BUT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG POSSIBLE
                       BELOW 1500 FEET.
   TEMPERATURE.........LOW 55 BELOW 1500 FEET BUT MID 60S ABOVE
                       1500 FEET.
   HUMIDITY............80-100% BELOW 1500 FEET BUT 50-60% ABOVE
                       1500 FEET.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH GUSTS 15 MPH ABOVE 2000 FT.
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTHWEST 2-6 MPH
   MARINE LAYER........1500 FEET...MAY DEEPEN TO 2000 FEET OVERNIGHT.
   CWR.................LESS THAN 5% ALTHOUGH SOME DRIZZLE POSSIBLE
                       BELOW 1500 FEET.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY
   SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
   TEMPERATURE.........HIGH 75-85...ABOUT 4-8 DEGREES COOLER.
   HUMIDITY............MIN 50% BELOW 1500 FEET...30% ABOVE 1500 FEET.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH GUSTS 15 MPH
   EYE LEVEL WIND......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH GUSTS 10 MPH
   MARINE LAYER........2000 FEET.
   CWR.................LESS THAN 5% ALTHOUGH SOME DRIZZLE POSSIBLE
                       BELOW 2000 FEET.

FORECASTER...R WALBRUN

$$

REQUESTED BY...RICH SAMPSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE