FNUS73 KDDC 140916 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR CIMARRON REC AREA PILES...USDA FS CIMARRON NG NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 416 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON AUGUST 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASED CLOUDS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL LIFT BECOMES MORE ENHANCED AHEAD OF A DIGGING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 5700-7600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1300...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........78 82 85 83 73 62 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 74 80 84 85 84 RH..............78 59 49 43 40 40 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 9 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 8 WIND GUST..15 20 15 15 15 15 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0100...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0500...THEN 1-8 STRIKES. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........59 67 77 75 61 47 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 75 72 69 68 66 RH..............43 55 64 70 76 81 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 8 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 12 S 8 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 7 WIND GUST..20 15 10 15 15 15 LAL.............2 3 3 4 3 2 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100-12200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........36 35 35 19 24 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 73 83 90 93 94 RH..............84 66 47 37 31 28 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 S 8 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 S 8 S 9 WIND GUST..15 15 15 15 15 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 6 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BURKE REQUESTED BY...TOM EIKENBERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090814.CIMAR.01/DDC