FNUS75 KGJT 142254
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NARRAGUINNEP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
454 PM MDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1610 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR SHOWS CONSIDERABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE SITE MOVING EASTWARD. AS A RESULT
STORMS WILL BE OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE SITE UNTIL AROUND 2100.
OTHERWISE AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN AFTERNOON SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
SATURDAY...BUT LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THE FIRE SITE TOMORROW NIGHT ALLOWING STRONGER THAN NORMAL WINDS TO
CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AND FAVOR A WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS 10-20 MPH MOSTLY DRIVEN BY OUTFLOW FROM
                    STORMS WHICH WILL BE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION...
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC. WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 4-7
                    MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 7-12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS
                    TO 35 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH INCREASING TO 29 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 14 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...KENT GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090814.NARRA.01/GJT