FNUS72 KJAX 141654
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRDSBEAK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1254 PM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1300 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION WILL
WEAKEN TODAY. ANOTHER HIGH WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS  THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT IN THE
VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........74     76     87
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90     90     88
RH..............56     55     61
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1800   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 1    NE 6   E 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     80     80
LAL.............3      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........87     64     64     56     39     39
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............86     80     77     76     74     73
RH..............66     79     86     90     94     97
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 2    SE 1   SE 1   SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   400    400    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    E 7    E 7    SE 5   SE 3   SE 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).80     40     40     40     20     20
LAL.............5      3      3      3      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...PAUL VARNEDOE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090814.BIRDS.01/JAX