FNUS72 KMFL 141116
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOXBURN14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
716 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOXBURN14...FISH & WILDLIFE COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
713 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST
COAST AND BEGIN TO PUSH INLAND BETWEEN 9 AND 11 AM AND REACH THE
BURN SITE AROUND MID DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WINDS WILL BE
FAIRLY LIGHT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY AND INCREASE AFTER THE SEA
BREEZE PASSES... INCREASING THE DISPERSION TO GENERALLY GOOD
VALUES. TONIGHT WINDS WILL DECREASE AND BECOME NEAR CALM, HOWEVER
A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL INCREASE WIND
AND RAIN CHANCES TOWARD MORNING, HOWEVER DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE POOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA SATURDAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS EXPECTED AND
DISPERSIONS REMAINING GENERALLY GOOD.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............75.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 42 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     50
TEMP............87     91     92     90     87     84
RH..............65     60     58     62     68     74
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
EYE LVL WIND G..5      10     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   3200   4500   4500   3200   2000
MIXNG WIND......SE 12  SE 13  SE 14  SE 14  SE 12  SE 9
DISP IDX (LDSI).29     51     53     53     42     11
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      4
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............75.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............76.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............2.

$$
FORECASTER...TINGLER
REQUESTED BY...J WALLACE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...JON WALLACE
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U