FNUS73 KMQT 141144
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK DAM FIRE...MDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
744 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0730 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST IS UPON US FOR THE
TODAY AND TONIGHT PERIOD...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SWINGS
OVER UPPER MICHIGAN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE RESULT SO FAR THIS
MORNING HAS BEEN A SMALL CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN...WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING
UPWARDS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR. STILL...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
GENERALLY IN CONTROL...DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT...AS
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO TOP OUT IN THE 80S THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OTHERWISE...WE CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A COLD FRONT CROSSING
UPPER MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WITH OFF AND ON
WET WEATHER FIGURED MAINLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT REQUEST...MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 57 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (40) AT REQUEST. MAX...GOOD (391)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (714) LATE.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.16 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........71     72     75     77     68     56
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............60     67     71     72     78     82
RH..............100    86     77     76     64     57
GENERAL WIND....S 6    S 6    S 7    S 9    S 9    S 10
GENERAL GUST....15     15     15     20     20     20
VINDX KT-FT/100.40     134    191    233    558    714
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 20
                    TO 35 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (53) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY MIDNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........47     43     39     35     34     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     71     66     66     63     62
RH..............60     81     96     95     100    100
GENERAL WIND....S 8    S 8    S 6    S 6    S 6    SW 6
GENERAL GUST....15     15     15     10     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.528    219    0      65     60     37
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...DLG
REQUESTED BY...ALLAN KETO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090814.ROCKD.01/MQ