FNUS73 KAPX 142037
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES 12...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
437 PM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID AFTERNOON EXPECTED
SATURDAY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING
IN THE BURN VICINITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND MAY BE A BIT GUSTY DURING THE MID AND
LATE MORNING HOURS (UPWARDS OF 20 MPH) BEFORE DIMINISHING A BIT DURING
THE AFTERNOON.  HIGH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........21     25     25     19     39     39
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     78     73     69     66     65
RH..............43     52     64     76     81     84
20 FT WIND......SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 5    S 5    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4
SMOKE DISP......700    500    200    0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........86 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...GUSTS 12 TO 16 MPH.  OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS 15
                    TO 20 MPH DURING THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...AND 13 TO 18 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4400-4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........39     44     44     44     50     50
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     66     76     83     86     86
RH..............87     84     58     46     42     43
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 4   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4
SMOKE DISP......0      0      400    800    600    600

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090815.BLUEB.01/APX