FNUS73 KAPX 151543 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES 12...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1143 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1140 EDT ON AUGUST 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY'S WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST CONTINUES TO KEEP VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR WAFTING INTO THE REGION ON SOUTHWEST WINDS. WINDS GUSTS WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...PEAKING IN THE MID-TEENS. CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST IS HIGH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 87. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........44 44 44 45 48 48 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 79 82 85 86 87 86 RH..............69 60 53 46 45 45 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 15 15 13 13 11 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......500 600 700 700 700 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61. RH..................MAX 0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........60 45 45 45 38 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............85 81 78 72 65 63 RH..............48 54 60 71 87 93 20 FT WIND......SW 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......800 500 100 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88. RH..................MIN 0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-7900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1900). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........38 42 42 42 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 70 83 87 RH..............100 76 49 45 20 FT WIND......S 7G15 S 6G10 S 7G15 SW 8G20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 4 SMOKE DISP......0 200 1500 1900 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF HALBLAUB/JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090815.BLUEB.02/APX