FNUS75 KGJT 152255
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NARRAGUINNEP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
455 PM MDT SAT AUG 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1619 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

*NOTE: IF A FORECAST IS REQUESTED FOR TOMORROW'S IAP, PLEASE
REMEMBER THAT NO NEW DATA OR MODELS TO IMPROVE THE FORECAST FOR
LATER PERIODS WILL BE AVAILABLE UNTIL AFTER ABOUT 10 PM. THANKS.


.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE FIRE SITE FROM THE
NORTHWEST AND SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE AREA ABOUT 1900-2000 THIS
EVENING. MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL FRONTAL
PASSAGE, THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT ABRUPTLY TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE
FRONT GOES THROUGH. LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
LIGHTER WEST WINDS ALOFT. SURFACE INVERSIONS WILL FORM TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BOTH AFTERNOONS.

OUTLOOK...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH
MID-WEEK. SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY,
BUT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MOISTURE
WHICH WILL REMAIN MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTHWEST 10-17 MPH GUSTING TO
                    30 MPH. AFTER 2300 BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 MPH, BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH
                    AFTER 2300.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 12 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH UNTIL
                    2100, THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100, THE POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTER 0900, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...KENT GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090815.NARRA.01/GJT