FNUS75 KGJT 160234
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NARRAGUINNEP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
835 PM MDT SAT AUG 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2022 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY THE TONIGHT PERIOD NEEDS UPDATING. NO CHANGES TO
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A COLD FRONT PASSED WILL PASS
THROUGH THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN 2100 AND 2130. SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY, THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT ABRUPTLY TO THE
NORTHWEST AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH LIGHTER WEST WINDS ALOFT. SURFACE INVERSIONS WILL FORM TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BOTH AFTERNOONS.

OUTLOOK FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH MID-WEEK. SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
RETURN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, BUT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MOISTURE WHICH WILL REMAIN MAINLY TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE STARTING
TUESDAY WITH LOW HUMIDITIES. THURSDAY TEMPERATURES WILL COOL AND
HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH UNTIL 2130, THEN NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH
                    GUSTING TO 25 MPH . AFTER 2300 BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 MPH, BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH
                    AFTER 2300.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900,
THEN                     BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
22 MPH                     IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 12 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH
UNTIL                     2100, THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
3-5 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100, THE POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0900,
THEN                     BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN IMPROVING TO VERY
GOOD.  HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....AFTER 0900, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...KENT GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090815.NARRA.01/GJT